More Active Posts
Front Page
Not so fast, pollsters
 |
 9 Comments |
Pollsters may have given Pennsylvania to Clinton, but Pennsylvania voters have yet to do so. With the state’s considerable student population and minority voting blocs, the New York senator may find her lead in the Keystone State somewhat difficult to preserve.
Clinton’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania opinion polls (she leads 49% to 39% in a Rasmussen poll from March 25) is not news. Obama has been floating almost 10 points behind her for months. With Philadelphia’s 43% black population likely to lean towards Obama, Clinton’s lead relies primarily on support from the Pittsburgh region and the middle of the state.
That support, however, may prove less than stable. Figures from the Federal Election Commission show Obama now leads in monetary support from the Pittsburgh region. With $356,277 total raised at the end of February, Obama has overwhelmed Clinton’s total of $210,471. The Clinton campaign trails behind even the now-defunct Giuliani campaign, which picked up $315,110 from the Pittsburgh area before dropping out of the race in January.
Alongside the superior fundraising, Obama has also recently gathered the support of popular Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey, who defeated Sen. Rick Santorum in a landslide 2006 election. The national significance of Sen. Casey’s support was underscored by renewed calls for Clinton to step out of the race on Saturday.
Perhaps the most dangerous element for Clinton, however, is time. Obama’s widening lead in national polls (up to 50% against 43% on March 29) may only further dishearten Clinton supporters as the month drags on towards April 22.
 |
Topic: Campaign 2008, Front Page, The Nation |  |
Email a friend |
 |
Keywords: Hillary-Clinton, Pennsylvania primary |  |
RSS 2.0 |
 |
Both comments and pings are currently closed. |  |
Share this: |
Soul searching
How many of these students are permanent residents of PA allowed to vote in the PA primary?
I think the calls for Clinton to pull out now is an effort on the part of the DNC to get going on the general election — which is what John McCain is free to do, and he’s doing is relatively unimpeded by a competitor making his life miserable because his two competitors are making each other’s lives miserable.
If Hillary wants to run next time, if she quits now, she looks like yes, you guessed it — a quitter!
When the Dems ran into problems in NJ with Toricelli, they just changed the rules and put in someone else. That’s what they’re trying to do here now — change their own rules. It’s a tad pathetic.
The reason the Dems have super delegates is that they have always known that nearly half of their party are nut case, whack jobs easily lead astray by the next idiot global warming Messiah type. The party insiders wanted the ability to over ride any whack job the average whack job Dem might vote for.
All this proves is that the Dem Party was always right about half their insane members and they need to stick to their guns to get rid of the Marxist Obama since he is unelectable. The only reason this is an issue and a problem is that Hillary is even more unelectable and race trumps gender on the left every time.
The pressure for Hillary to quit will only get stronger. The DNC knows that the continuing campaign will only get nastier believing that it will hurt their chances in November regardless of who wins the nomination.
If I’m Hillary, I press on as a matter of principle even as Huckabee did. The people should be allowed to cast their ballots. This should not be decided at this point by kingmakers. Let the process continue. Eventually the people will state who they want as a nominee. And if it is undecided on that level, that is what Conventions are for.
Hillary and her supporters have as much right to believe that she should be the nominee as Obama’s supporters do. Against McCain, they both have pretty much the same chance anyway.
The polls are only as good as the models (and theefore the demographic assumptions) of the pollsters.
This election is somewhat unique in a few ways (e.g. no incumbent P/VP running, the pioneering racial/sexual angles).
The pollsters’ assumptions in modeling may not be valid. They also have to decide whether (or how) to deal with variations on the ‘Bradley Effect’.
Politico
Clinton didn’t pay health insurance bills
By KENNETH P. VOGEL
3/31/08
Among the debts reported this month by Hillary Rodham Clinton’s struggling presidential campaign, the $292,000 in unpaid health insurance premiums for her campaign staff stands out.
Clinton, who is being pressured to end her campaign against Barack Obama for the Democratic nomination, has made her plan for universal health care a centerpiece of her agenda.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9274.html
NOTICE: Wouldn’t pay her bill but has all the answers for the USA, oh yes she does have a centerpiece!
Man, that’s an ugly picture of Billary. She’s an ugly woman anyway, but man that picture! EWWWW.
Bianca -
Believe me, I am no fan of Mrs. Clinton, but your remark is uncalled-for, & nasty.
Karen,
I agree. I didn’t think the Presidential candidates were in a beauty contest.
Hitchens Goes Off On Clintons, Calls Bill Hill’s “Moral Tutor, The Man Who Taught Her How To Lie”
NOTE: Read the story, and then watch the short video.